Talking Real Money - Investing Talk

• Query Day

  Don fields listener questions from Asheville in this Friday Q&A edition. Topics include calculating investment returns with XIRR versus simple time-weighted methods, rebalancing U.S. vs. international allocations in a Vanguard portfolio, whether children can have multiple custodial accounts (and why 529s may be better), AVGE versus VT and why factor tilts matter long-term, and a skeptical look at Frank Vasquez’s Risk Parity Radio strategy that leans on commodities and “golden ratio” portfolio construction. 1:03 How to calculate investment returns (XIRR vs. time-weighted) 4:19 Portfolio allocation: VTI + VT + BND vs. simpler mix 7:10 Custodial UTMA accounts vs. 529s 9:24 AVGE vs. VT: expense ratios, factor tilts, long-term logic 15:06 Frank Vasquez and Risk Parity Radio critique Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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• Looking Back

  This episode of Talking Real Money digs into recency bias—our human tendency to expect the future to look like the recent past—and how it’s quietly reshaping retirement portfolios. Don and Tom examine rising stock allocations in 401(k)s and target-date funds, even among older investors, and why this performance-chasing is dangerous. They highlight the risks of target-date fund managers pandering to investors, the importance of rebalancing, and the need to stick to long-term allocation plans based on risk tolerance, not market trends. Listener questions cover immediate annuities, 529-to-Roth transfer rules, and whether paying an advisor’s 1% fee is worth it compared with DIY investing. 0:04 Recency bias explained and why it drives poor investment decisions 1:05 Stock allocations hitting record levels in 401(k)s across all age groups 2:48 Risk of higher stock exposure for investors in their 60s 3:33 Target-date funds increasing equity exposure and chasing performance 5:00 Example of an investor going from 60/40 to 90% stocks 7:00 Post-2008 shifts: investors moved into bonds when they should’ve been buying stocks 7:26 Importance of rebalancing twice a year to avoid creeping U.S./large-cap overweight 9:00 Why boring diversification still works long-term 11:26 How to check your target-date fund allocation on Morningstar 12:41 Active vs. index target-date funds: Vanguard vs. T. Rowe/Nuveen 14:03 Listener Q: Fixed immediate annuity trade-offs (“wizards of odds”) 17:49 Why insurers win: payout math vs. life expectancy 18:59 Why Don & Tom dislike most annuities but tolerate immediate annuities in some cases 20:52 DIY alternative: 5% bond/CD ladder vs. annuity payout 21:25 What if you get 6%? Extending sustainable income to 23 years 21:37 Listener Q: Rules for rolling 529 funds into a Roth IRA 23:00 Key 529 limits: 15-year account age, 5-year holding period, $35k lifetime cap 23:14 Listener Q: DIY investing vs. hiring an advisor at 1% AUM 24:22 Why a good advisor’s value is about more than returns—taxes, withdrawals, estate planning 25:42 Vanguard’s Advisor Alpha and why behavior coaching adds value Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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• Illiquid Alternatives

  Tom Cock takes the reins while Don visits family, leading a live call-in show that covers liquidity risks in private investments and university endowments, skepticism over deferred income annuities, housing sale costs, Vanguard ETF gaps, the importance of diversification beyond the S&P 500, and why long-term investing discipline beats reacting to short-term volatility. Callers ask about annuities, real estate commissions, balanced ETFs, 100% stock allocations, and Wellington vs. total market strategies, with Tom stressing global diversification, risk awareness, and building portfolios for real life rather than chasing products or peer pressure. 0:04 Tom hosts solo, Don away visiting his mom 0:51 Liquidity lessons from elite college endowments and alternatives 2:56 Why liquidity matters for retirement and emergencies 6:21 Caller Rich: $2M assets, pension, Social Security, annuity concerns, Tom warns against deferred income annuities 11:46 Caller Will: real estate commissions after lawsuits, Tom says budget ~10% of sale price 15:09 Tom warns about too-good-to-be-true “8% guarantees” 16:26 Caller Catherine: asks why Vanguard lacks a balanced ETF; Tom suggests DIY mix or wait for rollout 21:40 Tom stresses ignoring TikTok “advice” and staying the course; examples of small-cap rebounds 25:31 Global small/value stocks outperform S&P this year—own them all 26:49 Caller Joe: 100% S&P 500 allocation in retirement accounts; Tom warns about concentration, suggests global diversification 32:56 Caller Alan: Wellington Fund vs. more equities; Tom favors index funds and broader global exposure 37:28 Risk quiz, portfolio planning, and building for your own needs vs. peer influence Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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• Making Life Better

  Tom Cock hosts this week’s Talking Real Money solo while Don visits his mom. He reflects on Appella Wealth’s annual client event, where clients talked more about travel, grandkids, and weather than money—showing that the firm’s real value is helping people worry less about markets and more about life. Tom takes listener calls covering whether to renew CDs or move into bond funds, the high costs of closed-end muni funds, portfolio planning with Roth IRAs and target-date funds, estate planning with mutual fund capital gains, and frustrations with annuities. Throughout, Tom stresses planning, simplicity, ignoring noise, and putting money in its proper place. 0:04 Don out visiting his mom, Tom hosts solo 0:48 Market news and Appella Wealth annual client event recap 2:36 What clients really talk about: travel, family, weather—not money 3:25 Why clients worry less about markets when planning is in place 5:59 The importance of advisors (or DIY) in managing rebalancing, taxes, RMDs 7:09 Caller Bill (MN): Renew $200k CDs at 4% vs move into bond fund 11:25 Caller Jim (TX): High-fee muni closed-end funds, whether to sell 13:20 Caller Tom (VA): Planning Roth IRA allocations, target-date funds at Fidelity 18:53 Caller Gene (MD): $8M estate, big mutual fund gains, reducing taxes for heirs 28:12 Caller Bernadette (WA): Regrets annuity with USAA, options for moving it 31:18 Tom’s guidance: why annuities disappoint and fiduciary help matters 32:41 How to “put money in its place” if you’re a DIY investor Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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• Should Have Yielded

  Don and Tom revisit their long-standing skepticism of Yieldstreet after CNBC’s investigation reveals major investor losses. They highlight how promises of high returns and low risk almost always end in disaster, connecting this lesson back to their 2022 warnings. The episode underscores the dangers of “magical” investments, the myth of passive income, and why retirement accounts should avoid private assets. Listener questions focus on Roth vs. pre-tax strategy, bracket management, and conversion rules—showing the complexity of tax planning when wealth accumulates. 0:04 Why “too good to be true” investments always fail eventually 1:08 Yieldstreet problems exposed—CNBC investigation findings 2:26 Losses and watch-list numbers from their portfolio 3:48 Investors chasing 20% returns and Adam Neumann connection 5:01 Private investments pitched as “smoother sailing” 6:14 Throwback to 2022 TRM episode warning about Yieldstreet 7:38 False promises of 8% “distributions” and return of capital 9:10 FBI and SEC probes; fees, liquidity issues, and risks 10:33 Why magical investments work… until they don’t 12:22 Don’s “Financial Fysics” rule: only 3 ways to make money 14:24 Private credit in 401(k)s—why Don hates the idea 15:36 Listener Q: Roth conversion strategy before retirement 17:17 Five-year rule confusion and conversion clarifications 18:52 Why splitting Roth and pre-tax can make sense 20:09 Listener Q: Roth vs. pre-tax for high earners in California 22:08 The need for predictive tax planning with large balances 22:26 Wealth requires planning, not winging it 24:12 Wrapping up—Yieldstreet’s lesson and Roth themes Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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