Don't Worry About the Vase Podcast

The Don’t Worry About the Vase Podcast is a listener-supported podcast. To receive new posts and support the cost of creation, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.
* 00:00 - Introduction
* 02:39 - Here We Go Again: Executive Summary
* 03:43 - Introduction (1)
* 04:10 - RSP Evaluations (2)
* 05:20 - Meanwhile Back With Claude Mythos
* 10:16 - Economic Capability Index (2.3.7)
* 11:10 - Alignment Risk (2.4)
* 13:07 - Cyber (3)
* 14:43 - Safeguards and Harmlessness (4)
* 21:19 - Agentic Safety (5)
* 24:24 - Alignment (6)
* 31:26 - Decision Theory (6.3.6)
* 35:07 - System Prompt Changes
* 35:32 - Mandatory Pliny Jailbreak
* 35:57 - Onward To Model Welfare and Capabilities
https://open.substack.com/pub/thezvi/p/opus-47-part-1-the-model-card?utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web


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The Don’t Worry About the Vase Podcast is a listener-supported podcast. To receive new posts and support the cost of creation, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.
* 00:00:00 - Introduction
* 00:03:40 - Table of Contents
* 00:07:24 - Language Models Offer Mundane Utility
* 00:11:03 - Language Models Don’t Offer Mundane Utility
* 00:14:37 - Levels of Friction
* 00:16:51 - Huh, Upgrades
* 00:17:09 - On Your Marks
* 00:17:22 - Lack of Cybersecurity
* 00:19:03 - Meta Game
* 00:26:24 - Deepfaketown and Botpocalypse Soon
* 00:27:18 - A Young Lady’s Illustrated Primer
* 00:29:01 - Let My People Go
* 00:30:15 - You Drive Me Crazy
* 00:30:56 - They Took Our Jobs
* 00:35:28 - They Gave Us Time Off
* 00:41:42 - Get Involved
* 00:42:52 - Introducing
* 00:43:16 - In Other AI News
* 00:48:33 - Thanks For The Memos
* 00:51:27 - Show Me the Money
* 00:53:54 - Bubble, Bubble, Toil and Trouble
* 00:54:45 - Quickly, There’s No Time
* 00:55:28 - The Quest for Sane Regulations
* 00:57:59 - Our Offer Is Nothing
* 01:03:12 - The Week in Audio
* 01:03:30 - Rhetorical Innovation
* 01:09:50 - Political Violence Is Never The Answer
* 01:13:23 - A Lot Of People Peacefully Speak Of Infinitely High Stakes
* 01:15:01 - Take a Moment
* 01:19:08 - Greetings From The Department of War
* 01:24:34 - Political Pressure At Google DeepMind
* 01:25:10 - Things That Are Basically Legal And Accepted Now, Somehow
* 01:26:12 - Aligning a Smarter Than Human Intelligence is Difficult
* 01:32:11 - Aligning a Current Model For Mundane Tasks Is Also Difficult
* 01:33:29 - Everyone Is Confused About AI Consciousness
* 01:36:30 - The Lighter Side
https://open.substack.com/pub/thezvi/p/ai-164-pre-opus?utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web


Get full access to DWAtV Podcast at dwatvpodcast.substack.com/subscribe

The Don’t Worry About the Vase Podcast is a listener-supported podcast. To receive new posts and support the cost of creation, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.
* 00:00:00 - Introduction
* 00:01:53 - Podcast Overview Part 1: Ordinary Business Interview
* 00:04:24 - Podcast Overview Part 2: A Debate About Chip Exports
* 00:09:35 - What Is Nvidia’s Moat?
* 00:15:33 - TPU vs. GPU
* 00:20:42 - Why Isn’t Nvidia Hyperscaling?
* 00:26:20 - Selling Chips To China
* 00:55:49 - Different Chip Architectures
* 00:57:13 - The Online Reactions On Export Controls
* 01:05:11 - Is This About Being Superintelligence Pilled?
* 01:10:49 - Jensen’s Arguments Are Poor Both Logically And Rhetorically
https://open.substack.com/pub/thezvi/p/on-dwarkesh-patels-podcast-with-nvidia?utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web


Get full access to DWAtV Podcast at dwatvpodcast.substack.com/subscribe

The Don’t Worry About the Vase Podcast is a listener-supported podcast. To receive new posts and support the cost of creation, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.
* 00:00 - Introduction
* 00:46 - Huh, Upgrades
* 02:52 - On Your Marks
* 05:02 - Lazy Cheaters
* 06:45 - It’s All Routine
* 07:20 - Declawing
* 09:21 - Free Claw
* 09:47 - Take It To The Limit
* 14:06 - Turn On Auto The Pilot
* 16:14 - I’ll Allow It
* 16:43 - Threat Model
* 17:21 - The Classifier Is The Hard Part
* 18:53 - Acceptable Risks
* 20:14 - Manage The Agents
* 22:49 - Introducing
* 22:57 - Skilling Up
* 25:49 - What Happened To My Tokens?
* 26:04 - Coding Agents Offer Mundane Utility
https://open.substack.com/pub/thezvi/p/claude-code-codex-and-agentic-coding?utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web


Get full access to DWAtV Podcast at dwatvpodcast.substack.com/subscribe

The Don’t Worry About the Vase Podcast is a listener-supported podcast. To receive new posts and support the cost of creation, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.
* 00:00 - Introduction
* 02:05 - Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) (Model Card 2.3.6)
* 04:52 - What Do You Mean Verbalized Evaluation Awareness Is Going Down
* 05:43 - Capabilities (Model Card Section 6)
* 08:38 - Agentic Safety Benchmarks (8.3)
* 10:57 - Is Mythos AGI?
* 11:56 - Are AI Companies Using Warnings As Hype?
* 12:56 - Impressions (Model Card Section 7)
* 16:13 - Blatant Denials Are The Best Kind
* 17:13 - Prompt Injection Robustness
* 18:21 - Does Mythos Cross The New Knowledge Threshold?
* 19:10 - Is Mythos Surprising or Discontinuous?
* 23:18 - UK AISI Tests Claude Mythos On Cybersecurity
* 24:42 - Everything Reinforces My Existing Predictions And Policy Preferences
* 29:55 - Solve For The Equilibrium
* 31:20 - Does Not Compute
* 32:25 - Conclusion: How To Think About Mythos
https://open.substack.com/pub/thezvi/p/claude-mythos-3-capabilities-and?utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web


Get full access to DWAtV Podcast at dwatvpodcast.substack.com/subscribe