Liberation Day Has Come | Jack & Max on Seismic Market Revolt Against Trump Admin’s Tariff Policy (Recorded April 3 2025)
Jack Farley & Max Wiethe share their analysis as global financial markets react with shock to Trump’s reciprocal tariffs which are based not on other countries’ tariff or non-tariff trade measures, but on the level of trade deficit itself. Recorded the morning of April 3, 2025.
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44:42
Tariffs: The Ultimate Stagflationary Shock? | Darius Dale on "Liberation Day," DOGE, Gold, and the Global Debt Refinancing Air Pocket
Darius Dale of 42Macro joins Jack to explain why he’s been bearish on U.S. stocks and expects the rough sledding to continue. Dale believes stagflationary shock from tariffs and deflationary DOGE forces could cause Treasurys to catch a short-term bid, but long-term he is bearish on bonds. On a longer-term time horizon, Dale thinks Trump fiscal forces could be positive for the economy and markets. Recorded on April 1, 2025.
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1:05:47
Trading Market Turmoil: Any System is Better than No System | OPM Trader Talks with Petr Pinkhasov of Anthem Capital Management
This episode is brought to you by Fintool. Learn more about how you can add AI to your investment process with Fintool: https://fintool.com/?utm_source=the_opm
Petr Pinkhasov, CIO and founder of Anthem Capital Management, joins Other People’s Money, for a special “Trader Talks” episode where he discusses how he trades incorporating quantitative signals, thematic views, and technical analysis patterns like DeMark indicators. Petr also discusses how he’s been handling the volatile start to 2025 and what forces he is attributing the market’s recent turmoil and rotations.
This episode is brought to you by Fintool, a financial copilot tailored for institutional investors. Fintool leverages Large Language Models (LLMs) to discover financial insights beyond the reach of timely human analysis. From summarizing extensive annual reports to computing numbers and unearthing new insights by comparing years of filings, Fintool equips institutional investors like Janus Henderson, First Manhattan and companies like PWC. Learn more about how you can add AI to your investment process: https://fintool.com/?utm_source=the_opm
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55:33
Tariffs & Q2 Growth Shock | Trade Maven Brad Setser on Trump’s Tariff Warpath, China’s Balance of Payments, and “Self-Induced Recession” Probabilities
This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by VanEck.
Learn more about VanEck Uranium & Nuclear ETF: http://vaneck.com/NLRJack
Brad Setser is an expert on global trade and capital flows, having served as senior advisor to the United States Trade Representative from 2021 to 2022. The Whitney Shepardson senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) joins Monetary Matters to explain why he thinks President Trump’s tariffs are likely to cause a growth shock in the second quarter. Recorded on March 20, 2025
Brad Setser piece on China’s Balance of Payments: https://www.cfr.org/blog/iphone-imf-and-chinas-balance-payments
“The Evolution of Global Trade in 2024”: https://www.cfr.org/blog/evolution-global-trade-2024
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1:26:25
From Treasury Minister of Argentina to Macro Hedge Fund Manager | Nicolás Dujovne of Tenac Asset Management
This episode is brought to you by Fintool. Learn more about how you can add AI to your investment process with Fintool: https://fintool.com/?utm_source=the_opm
Nicolás Dujovne, CIO and founder of Tenac Asset Management, joins Other People’s Money to discuss his path from Treasury Minister of Argentina and president of the G-20 to hedge fund manager. Despite more experience managing economies than trading them, Dujovne and his partners at Tenac have succeeded in building a 5+ year track record with no down years and an annualized rate of 17.18% net of fees, focusing mostly on sovereign and corporate debt of emerging market countries. In the interview we discuss how global macro feeds portfolio construction, the important factors when analyzing individual emerging markets, and how understanding large international organizations like the IMF is crucial to predicting outcomes in EM.
This episode is brought to you by Fintool, a financial copilot tailored for institutional investors. Fintool leverages Large Language Models (LLMs) to discover financial insights beyond the reach of timely human analysis. From summarizing extensive annual reports to computing numbers and unearthing new insights by comparing years of filings, Fintool equips institutional investors like Janus Henderson, First Manhattan and companies like PWC. Learn more about how you can add AI to your investment process: https://fintool.com/?utm_source=the_opm
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Timestamps:
00:00 Intro
00:29 Fintool Front Roll
02:00 Why is LATAM a Macro Hotbed?
04:11 From Minister of the Treasury to Macro Trader
11:36 Capital Raising in LATAM
16:31 Developing & Communicating Your Investment Process
20:53 Fintool Mid Roll
22:01 The Growth of EM Debt Markets
25:56 Dispersion and Portfolio Management
30:50 Corporate/Quasi Sovereign Debt
34:30 The Events That Move Markets in EM
38:22 Data Integrity Issues in EM
39:28 Vol and Investor Expectations
43:14 Global Spotlight on Argentina
44:57 Unique Requirements of Global Investing
48:16 The Roll of the IMF
54:27 Elections and Prediction Markets
56:58 The Roll of US Financial Conditions
01:01:45 Current Outlook for US Trade Policy
01:03:17 Opportunity Right Now
#stocks #economics #economy #recession #bonds #stockmarket #investing #hedgefunds #analyst #Alternatives #Argentina #NicolasDujovne #tenac #emergingmarkets #EMinvesting
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