Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Available Episodes

5 of 389

There's A Long, Grinding Bear Market Coming | David Hay
The last time I interviewed today's guest was right after the stock market plunged 20% to its post-Liberation Day lows in April.Wall Street was stunned, as just a few months before, the market seemed unstoppable.Well, here we are three months later...and stocks have rocketed back to new highs.The fears that panicked investors so much back in April seem completely forgotten.What is going on and what's most likely to happen from here?To discuss, we're fortunate to be joined today by David Hay, the up-until-recently Chief Investment Officer & Principal at Evergreen Gavekal. He now publishes daily investing commentary on his excellent Haymaker Substack.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#bearmarket #deficit #debt 0:00 - Market Recovery3:01 - The Trump Turnaround10:26 - Debts, Deficits, and Fed Balance Sheet15:37 - Bond Market Breakouts23:16 - Emerging Market Bonds31:03 - Tariffs and Economic Impacts46:56 - Student Loans and Delinquencies52:42 - AI and Productivity58:01 - Crypto and Bitcoin Treasuries:1:10:22 - Investment Recommendations1:21:13 - New Harbor Update_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
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1:55:45
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1:55:45
'It's Going To Get Worse' For Both The Economy & Stocks | Peter Tchir
Earlier this year the markets sold off rather violently on fears that President Trump's new tariffs would send global trade into a tailspin.Fast forward three months and stocks are back to all-time highs, even as it's becoming clearer that these tariffs, in some shape or form, are here to stay.Are tariffs not the grave mistake Wall Street originally thought they were?Or have investors simply decided to stop caring about them?To discuss, we're fortunate to welcome to the program, Peter Tchir, Head of Macro Strategy at Academy Securities.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#marketcorrection #bonds #tariffs 0:00 - Current Economic Assessment6:16 - Tariff Lag Effects10:26 - Jobs Market Weakness25:53 - Recession Risks and Policy Outlook35:35 - Rates and Fed Coordination42:42 - Market Outlook and Investments50:50 - Crypto and The GENIUS Act55:59 - Closing and Resources: Adam thanks Tchir, promotes his X handle (@TFMKTS), Academy Securities, and TheStreet.com; encourages subscriptions and financial advisor consultations._____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
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59:19
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59:19
Market Correction Now Likely Given Wall Street's "Nothing Can Go Wrong" Hubris | Lance Roberts
WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.comDespite stretched valuation levels and further signs that the consumer is struggling, stocks are partying on.Portfolio manager Lance Roberts sees stocks prices as having "detached from all the underlying economic data" at this point.That doesn't mean they won't go even higher still here in the near term. But he does think the probability of a correction is now quite high.So how is he positioning for that?We discuss that, as well as what earnings season is currently telling us, what the Fed is most likely to announce next week, how AI is super-concentrating wealth in both the corporate sector as well as consumer households, the long term risks to the markets, and Lance's firm's latest trades. For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video.#federalreserve #marketcorrection #artificialintelligence 0:00 - Market Outlook and Correction Risks18:35 - Portfolio Adjustments:21:36 - Fed Policy and Trump’s Influence41:12 - Earnings Insights56:01 - Wealth Concentration and AI1:03:35 - Economic Data and Consumer Debt1:11:07 - Long-Term Market Risks1:25:00 - Gold and Crypto Update1:31:27 - Life Philosophy Rant1:47:04 - Closing and Resources_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
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1:49:03
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1:49:03
Luke Gromen + Darius Dale: Why 'Money Printer Go Brrrrr' Is Our Inescapable Fate
With the US and nearly every other major G7 country engaging in historically high levels of deficit spending and increasingly struggling to service their massive sovereign debt balances -- how does this all resolve?Is there a path to a manageable ending here?Or does is debt crisis, or a currency crisis -- or both -- inevitable at this point?In attempt to answer these fiscally existential questions, we're fortunate to be joined by two great macro minds: Luke Gromen of FFTT LLC and Darius Dale of 42Macro.It's a true privilege to host both of these gentlemen on this platform at the same time.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#debtcrisis #inflation #deficit0:00 - America’s Fiscal Situation5:56 - Fiscal Unsustainability Details10:26 - Short-Term vs. Long-Term Outlook18:26 - Fed Policy and US Treasury Dynamics29:32 - Powell Replacement Implications34:56 - Investment Themes in Growth and Print Phases48:01 - Societal Impacts of Wealth Inequality1:15:14 - Life Advice for The 4th Turning1:17:36 - Societal and Economic Outlook1:21:51 - Closing and Resources_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
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1:27:19
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1:27:19
Stephanie Pomboy: Melt-Up Or Blow-Off Top?
Analyst Stephanie Pomboy returns for her bi-weekly macro & market update.We discuss the continued strength in stocks, which are back to all-time highs — only three months after Wall Street’s violent sell-off due to fears of tariff repercussions.How sustainable is this current rally?We discuss that, as well as the grinding weight of “higher for longer” bond yields, the potential of the President to appoint a “shadow Fed Chair” between now and the end of Powell’s term, Steph’s outlook for gold, and the long-term inevitability of a re-expansion of the Fed’s balance sheet.SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#federalreserve #stocks #goldprice __________________________________________________Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce & distribute educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
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1:18:49
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1:18:49