On The Market

• Americans Are Late on Their Mortgages: Why I’m NOT Worried About THAT Chart

  Mortgage delinquencies are up…or are they? One chart that’s been circulating on social media would have you believe that a growing number of homeowners are on the brink of foreclosure, driving us toward another 2008-style collapse. Is the panic justified or unfounded? We’ll dig into the data in today’s episode! A Freddie Mac chart has been doing the rounds recently, showing a massive jump in delinquencies, but what the data really reveals is a spike in another type of real estate delinquency—a trend that should come as no surprise, given how rising interest rates impact adjustable-rate loans. But what about residential real estate? Are regular homeowners now suddenly missing mortgage payments to 2008 levels? There’s no denying that we’re entering a buyer’s market. While a 2008-style housing market crash is unlikely, inventory is growing, and home prices could decline another 2%-3%. Whether you’re a regular homebuyer or real estate investor, this means you have an unusual amount of negotiating leverage. We’ll share a strategy you can use to insulate yourself from a potential dip and capitalize on an eventual surge in home prices! In This Episode We Cover How mortgage delinquency rates impact the housing market overall Why real estate is historically less volatile than stocks and other markets The “canary in the coal mine” that could signal trouble for the housing industry Why we’re seeing an (expected) surge in these mortgage delinquencies Taking advantage of a buyer’s market and a potential “dip” in home prices And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Over 6 Million Americans Are Late on Their Mortgage Payments—Here’s What It Means for Investors Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Grab the Book, “Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing” Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-309  Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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• Housing Market Shift: Inventory Catapults Back, Buying Opportunities Grow

  Home prices are falling fast in some prime real estate markets across the country while others remain stubbornly stuck. What’s the defining factor between a stable housing market and one where sellers are actively cutting prices? Housing inventory! This metric defined the 2020 - 2022 run-up in home prices, but the rubber band of demand is snapping back as buyer power grows, housing inventory rises, and investors get even better buying opportunities. Remember when people said, “I’ll buy when prices drop”? Well, now might be the time. ResiClub’s Lance Lambert joins us to provide a holistic view of housing inventory, prices, demand, and emerging opportunities. Lance walks through the most up-to-date data on where housing inventory is rising fast, where prices are quickly declining, and which markets are holding on as sellers remain in control. We’ll also talk about why homebuilding costs are about to JUMP and the reason Warren Buffett sold his homebuilding stocks shortly after buying them. Will construction slow down, limiting new inventory and leading us back into ultra-low supply? If so, this could push home prices higher, creating a prime opportunity for real estate investors. In This Episode We Cover US real estate markets seeing the most and least new inventory, and where prices are falling  Is spiking inventory a worrying sign for the housing market, or are we merely normalizing? What to look at in your housing market to forecast whether prices will rise or fall  Why are homebuilding costs about to JUMP, and could this lead to even more inventory problems? The new housing trend: Older renters, but could this mean more demand for rentals? And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile ResiClub: The cost breakdown for constructing a single-family home in 2024 ResiClub: Did Warren Buffett see this coming? Homebuilder margins face pressure in 2025 ResiClub: The vanishing young homebuyer: Median first-time homebuyer age jumps from 28 in 1991 to 38 in 2024 Inventory Is Key to a Stable Real Estate Market—Will It Recover? Join Lance’s Newsletter Grab Dave’s Book, “Real Estate by the Numbers” Jump to topic: (0:00) Intro  (1:27) Hottest and Coldest Markets  (8:00) Should We Be Worried?  (11:00) Where Prices Are Dropping  (14:54) What to Look For In YOUR Market  (17:39) Homebuilding Costs To JUMP  (21:48) Developer Profits Shrink  (24:11) Older Renters, Better for Investors Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-308 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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  36:53
• Florida Pushes to Abolish Property Taxes, These States Could Follow Soon

  Florida property taxes could drop to 0%. As the state struggles with some of the lowest affordability in the country, with home insurance almost doubling in five years and home prices increasing by more than 50% compared to pre-pandemic pricing, Floridian homeowners have seen their housing costs explode. So, what if they could save thousands of dollars a year by ditching property taxes? If Florida makes it work, this could open up the floodgates for many other states to pass similar bills. But WILL it work? A significant amount of Florida’s tax revenue comes from property taxes, so will they be efficient enough to work with a tighter budget, or will infrastructure break down due to the massive loss in government funding? And, if property taxes are eliminated, boosting affordability, could buyer demand surge as well? We ran the numbers, and the potential savings on housing costs are substantial. If Florida proves a successful 0% property tax test case, other states (including yours) could be next. In This Episode We Cover Florida’s new legislative push to abolish or reduce property taxes for homeowners How much homeowners would save every month if their property taxes were eliminated Can Florida afford to ban property taxes, and which services would be compromised if they did? States that are most likely to eliminate property taxes if Florida succeeds Serious side effects of eliminating property taxes and who pays the price And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area How You Can Legally Minimize Rental Property Taxes as Much as Possible Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Sources of State and Local Tax Collections Know Your Numbers BEFORE You Buy with “Real Estate by the Numbers” Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-307 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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  31:16
• Buyers Return as Lower Rates Hold, Trump Trades Federal Land for BIG Housing Bet

  Buyers are finally funneling back to the housing market thanks to recently lower mortgage rates. But, we’ve still got a BIG housing problem to fix—undersupply. What’s President Trump’s plan to put more houses on the map? Freedom cities! By turning federal lands into high-tech hubs for workers, we may be able to solve our housing shortage. Is this possible, or are “freedom cities” just a far-off developer dream? We’re getting into this headline and all the others filling your newsfeed in today’s episode! Home prices are about to PLUMMET…says one article for a select few property types. While much of this might be clickbait, James does think it’s time to scoop up some sweet property deals on second homes in hot vacation markets. With good value, economic weakness putting pressure on sellers, and long-term upside, this could be a solid move to make! Want to pay even LESS to a real estate agent? That’s what everyone says, but it doesn’t seem like that’s what everyone wants as Redfin gets bought out by Rocket Companies. Is the low-cost real estate agent model finally about to bite the dust, or could Rocket turn things around, bringing buyers a whole new suite of low-cost services? Stick around; we’re sharing our thoughts! In This Episode We Cover Trump’s plan to trade federal lands for “freedom cities” that could increase housing inventory Fed rate cut update: Should we still expect rate cuts sometime in 2025? Great news for real estate agents and lenders as sales accelerate thanks to lower interest rates  One type of rental property that could be a killer deal in 2025 (in SOME markets) The end (or beginning) of Redfin as Rocket Companies buys out the low-cost-agent brokerage And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile On The Market 300 - Mortgage Rates Hit 2025 Low as Recession Fears Rise What Is Trump's New Affordable Housing Plan for Federal Lands? Existing-Home Sales Accelerated 4.2% in February 5 Types of Homes Expected To Plummet in Value by the End of 2025 What went wrong at Redfin? Grab Dave’s Newest Book, “Start with Strategy”   Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-306 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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  32:18
• 100% Bonus Depreciation Could Return This Year: 2025 Tax Update

  Real estate is one of the most tax-advantaged investments in the country. With bonus depreciation, opportunity zone investing, 1031 exchanges, and more, investing in real estate is not only the best way to build wealth—it’s the key to tax-free (or deferred) wealth. So, with a Republican-controlled House and Senate, will new tax proposals favoring real estate investments pass? We’ve got some news that could make 2025 a “game-changer” year for real estate investors. CPA Brandon Hall joins us to break it down. With numerous proposals floated to restore 100% bonus depreciation, extend opportunity zone investments, and eliminate taxes on tips, overtime, and Social Security, 2025’s tax laws could look very different if these changes pass. Plus, there’s one huge real estate tax write-off you’re (probably) not taking advantage of. Brandon shares how investors can write off even more during rehabs and renovations, using a specific tax deduction most investors have never heard of. Find investor-friendly tax and financial experts with BiggerPockets Tax & Financial Services Finder! In This Episode We Cover 100% bonus depreciation—is it coming back, and when could it go into effect? The most commonly missed real estate tax write-off you MUST know about Tax-free income sources and which types of income could dodge Uncle Sam’s grip Opportunity zone updates and whether this tax-deferred investment will be renewed Still doing your taxes? Tell your CPA this BEFORE you file  And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-friendly Tax and Financial Experts Dave's BiggerPockets Profile What Is Bonus Depreciation And How Does It Work? Brandon's BiggerPockets Profile Work with Brandon’s Team Top 2025 Tax Strategies For Real Estate Investors Buy “The Book on Tax Strategies for the Savvy Real Estate Investor” Jump to topic: (00:00) - Intro   (01:14) - Bonus Depreciation Update   (08:53) - A Massive Missed Deduction   (12:54) - Tell Your CPA This   (14:29) - Tax Cuts Get Extended?   (18:58) - New Tax Proposals   (20:41) - Renewing Opportunity Zones   (23:04) - When Bonus Depreciation Could Return Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-305 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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