On The Market

• Stagflation Risk Rising Fast as US Economy Falls Out of Balance

  Stagflation: the combination of two of the worst economic conditions—inflation and slow/no growth. With stagflation, prices rise, asset growth shrinks, unemployment increases, consumer confidence drops, and economic pain spreads. This is the first time in almost fifty years that the US has had to deal with what is an extremely rare economic scare. And with the Fed already under immense pressure to lower rates, is the US economy out of escape routes? Today, we’re talking about stagflation—a trend that has worried major economists for months. Economic “warning signs” are already flashing as recession and inflation risks grow. But if we get hit with stagflation, how bad will it be, how long will it last, and how will it affect real estate? I’m explaining it all today. We’ll walk through what happened during the 1970s stagflation crisis, how home and rent prices were affected, what’s causing today’s stagflation risk, and whether the Fed has any power left to mitigate the worst consequences of it. This could affect every American and anyone investing in American real estate, but have my investing plans changed? I’ll tell you what I’m doing next.  In This Episode We Cover Stagflation explained and why it’s becoming a greater risk in 2025 Why the Fed may be out of options to fight stagflation and what’s causing it Reviewing the 1970s stagflation crisis and what happened to real estate prices then Inflation forecasts for 2025 and how much more prices could rise My current investing plan and how I’m looking at real estate if stagflation strikes And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Real Estate Investors—You Should Be Very Concerned About Stagflation Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Buy Real Estate the Right Way in Any Market Cycle with “Real Estate by the Numbers” Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and  https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-315  Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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  32:56
• Housing Market at Risk as Rates Rise, Dollar Weakens, Demand Freezes

  The housing market may be at greater risk than many of us thought. An economic trifecta is forming. If all three conditions hit at once, it could spell serious problems for anyone in the real estate industry. We may be close to a time when high home prices, high mortgage rates, and a recession all meet, causing a significant slowdown with effects that could hurt everyone who buys, sells, or helps transact on homes. But how likely is this to happen? The past month has been a wild ride for the economy. Mortgage rates fell dramatically but are now shooting back up. Inflation and unemployment fears are peaking as consumer confidence drops to unprecedented levels. And now, new tariffs could drive costs even higher. This could change everything, weakening the US dollar and making buying a house even harder. Every real estate investor, agent, lender, or professional should understand these risks because the effects could be severe. In this episode, we’re breaking down all the latest economic changes and how they affect the housing market. In This Episode We Cover New risks to the housing market that could cause big changes for buyers and sellers Why interest rates are starting to reverse, shooting back up EVEN with high recession risk The trifecta of bad news for the housing market and what investors must know now What a weakening dollar means for mortgage rates and the US economy as a whole Transaction volume forecasts and whether we’ll still see a hot spring homebuying season And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Real Estate 1106 - The One True “Inflation-Proof” Investment (EVEN with Tariffs) Invest in Any Market Cycle with “Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing” Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and  https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-314  Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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  34:11
• These Are The Perfect Investing Markets for 2025

  What if you could predict how a housing market performs before buying there? This would allow you to invest only in the best areas across the US, putting money down where you know it will multiply and letting you get leagues ahead of the other investors. This is MORE than possible, but you’ll need to know which metrics mean the most to an investing market. Neal Bawa has been doing this for years, building a huge real estate investing empire simply by looking at the data others often ignore. Today, he’s giving you his exact strategy. Why should you NOT invest in your backyard? It may seem like the easiest place to start, but Neal says you could miss out on a massive upside by sticking to what is comfortable. As a data scientist, he puts the numbers before the hype, ditching cities that investors are flocking to and investing in those that only have the most solid fundamentals. He mentions one metric that makes a housing market grow or slow in rent prices, but which metric is it? Today, Neal is sharing the best markets across the US to invest in, why renters prefer one type of housing over others (it’s not what you’d think), what Neal is buying NOW even with high interest rates and still (relatively) stubborn sellers, and why his six-metric formula is the key to predicting which markets will boom. In This Episode We Cover How to predict rent growth and home price growth in ANY market in America Multifamily vs. single-family rentals and why one hybrid is beating both Neal’s top 2025 markets to invest in using his six-metric market formula Why Neal stopped making offers on apartments and started buying THIS instead Is local real estate investing hurting your returns? Here’s why you may want to move your money And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders 13 Real Estate Hot Spots You Won’t Want to Miss Next Year Neal's BiggerPockets Profile Multifamily University Grab the Book “Real Estate by the Numbers” Jump to topic: (0:00) Intro (3:00) DON’T Invest in Your Backyard? (6:34) This Metric Predicts Markets (14:35) Tenants Want THIS Most (22:26) Best Markets in America (24:30) What Neal’s Buying NOW (33:52) Connect with Neal! Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and  https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-313 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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  41:19
• Inflation Fears Soar to 1980s Levels, Consumer Sentiment Sharply Plummets

  Consumer confidence collapses, China flashes its “nuclear option,” Zillow goes after secret listings, and uh oh, renovations could get even pricier—what does it all mean for your investments? Americans are dealing with severe trade war whiplash, and it’s starting to show. Consumer sentiment has fallen off a cliff in the most recent reading, with many Americans fearful that inflation will spike back up, the economy will slow way down, and we’ll be stuck in economic quicksand. How close is this to reality, and if average Americans are panicking, what should investors do to keep their sanity and portfolios stable? It’s been quite a week, so we’re bringing you the biggest headlines from the housing market and more! Zillow fights to unlock some of the “gated” listings agents and brokers have been using to curate their clientele selectively. Don’t know what secret listings we’re talking about? There’s a good chance they were hidden from you, too! China holds the “nuclear option” that could end the trade war, but will they use it, knowing that it could quickly send a shockwave across the shore and straight into China’s own economy? Plus, are things really that bad? According to Americans…yes. Consumer sentiment is now hovering around ten-year lows. Flipper confidence could be next, as construction costs may rise due to tariffs. How do you protect your deals, no matter what’s coming down the pipeline? In This Episode We Cover China’s secret weapon against high tariffs (and whether they’ll actually use it) New consumer sentiment numbers that show just how bad Americans think the economy will get  Inflation expectations and why many Americans are prepared for a return to constantly rising prices Zillow’s move to end listing gatekeeping and open up more housing options for ALL buyers James’ time-tested advice to take NOW if you’re renovating or flipping a home And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile On The Market 310 - Mortgage Rates Fall Fast as Tariffs Trigger Mass Stock Selloff, Economy at Risk Zillow is fighting back against a push to make real estate listings more exclusive The nuclear option China could take in trade war with the US Tariff Implications for the Construction Industry, Wells Fargo Report Tariff Implications for the Construction Industry Consumer Sentiment Tanks in April on Recession Fears Grab Dave’s Newest Book, “Start with Strategy” Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and  https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-312 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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  35:08
• A “Signal” That Multifamily Is Finally Bottoming Out (Time to Buy?)

  Large multifamily, for the most part, has been an “uninvestable” asset for the past few years. Tons of new inventory hitting the market, short-term loans coming due, rising expenses, and stagnant rent growth are just a few reasons investors have avoided this asset like the plague. Even veteran multifamily investor Brian Burke sold off a majority of his portfolio when prices were sky-high. Now, the oracle of multifamily has come back to share why he thinks we have two years until this reverses. Brian believes there’s a strong “signal” that sellers are about to get real, buyers will have more control, and rent prices will grow again. Could this be the bottoming out of the multifamily real estate market, or are we still years away from any recovery? What about small “sweet spot” multifamily rentals or single-family homes? Are they worth investing in right now? Brian shares exactly which assets have the most (and least) potential and the recession indicators to watch that could throw the real estate market out of whack. In This Episode We Cover The state of large multifamily in 2025: Is it finally time to get back in the game? The “sweet spot” multifamily properties small investors should be buying now Why 2027 could be the year that the multifamily market reverses Is residential real estate (single-family rentals) still a worthwhile buy in this housing market? The $1,000,000,000,000 problem that the multifamily market is facing And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Real Estate 1100 - The Ultimate Underrated Rental Property of 2025 (for Small Investors) Brian's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Brian’s Book, “The Hands-Off Investor” Jump to topic: (00:00) Intro (00:33) What to Buy and What to Avoid (04:13) Multifamily Sellers Must Wake Up (08:30) Has Multifamily Bottomed Out? (09:57) “Sweet Spot” Investments (14:51) Will Rent Growth Return? (20:28) An Opportunity for Single-Family Rentals? (25:18) Is Now the Time to Buy? (28:54) Recession Risks to Watch Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and  https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-311  Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected]. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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  37:41

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