Facts vs Feelings with Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese
Carson Investment Research
This podcast takes a deep dive into the market-moving events to cut through the noise and help you identify what really matters. Facts vs Feelings is hosted by ...
Summary: In this episode of Facts vs. Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, discuss the biggest economic and market concerns beyond tariffs. They dive into historical market indicators, the Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates, employment trends, and whether the third year of a bull market signals trouble. The duo also touches on global markets, the effects of potential retaliatory tariffs, and the latest employment data revisions.Key Takeaways:· Tariff Uncertainty: New tariffs on steel and aluminum imports could lead to retaliatory measures from Europe and other trade partners.· Market Indicators: The December low indicator flashed a warning, though broader market trends remain resilient.· Federal Reserve & Interest Rates: The Fed is taking a cautious approach, possibly delaying rate cuts until later in the year or even 2026.· Employment Trends: Payroll revisions lowered job growth estimates, but productivity gains remain a silver lining.· Market Breadth & Leadership Shift: Large-cap tech stocks show signs of lagging, while broader market participation remains mixed.· Historical Trends: Year three of a bull market tends to be weaker, averaging only a 2% gain.· Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We’d love to hear from you! [email protected] Connect with Ryan: · LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick· X: Ryan Detrick Connect with Sonu: · LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese· X: Sonu Varghese Relevant Hashtags: #StockMarket #Investing #Economy #Tariffs #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Finance #MarketTrends #WealthManagement #Trading #EconomicOutlook
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41:11
The Tariff Man is Back (Ep. 121)
In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, dive into the latest tariff drama, analyzing its potential impact on the economy, markets, and inflation. They explore past trade wars, the Fed’s stance on inflation uncertainty, and how fiscal policy—especially potential tax cuts—could shape 2025. Plus, they discuss the January market rally, historical trends for February, and why volatility is a necessary part of investing.Ryan and Sonu discuss:Tariffs create uncertainty, but history shows markets adapt.The Fed’s rate cut timeline may be delayed due to inflation concerns.Fiscal policy could offset the impact of tariffs, especially with potential tax cuts.Despite uncertainty, broadening market trends and strong corporate earnings remain positive.February has historically been weak post-election, but the long-term outlook remains bullish.Resources: ● Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We’d love to hear from you! [email protected] Connect with Ryan Detrick: ● LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick● X: Ryan Detrick Connect with Sonu Varghese: ● LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese● X: Sonu Varghese Publishing Tags: #FinancialMarkets #Investing #StockMarket #Economy #Tariffs #TradeWar #Inflation #FederalReserve #InterestRates #MarketTrends #InvestmentStrategy #GlobalEconomy #StockMarketAnalysis #EconomicPolicy #PersonalFinance #FinancialPlanning #InvestorEducation #MarketVolatility #Trading #WealthManagement #FinancePodcast
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42:04
Is Tech in DeepSeek? (Ep. 120)
Artificial Intelligence is reshaping industries and global competition, and understanding its market impact is critical.How do advancements like DeepSeek's AI change the game? What does it mean for the global economy, technology stocks, and U.S.-China relations?In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, explore the transformative impact of AI, the economic trends shaping 2024, and the importance of diversification in portfolios. They also discuss the implications of AI for productivity, technology sector competition, and global markets.Ryan and Sonu discuss: The emergence of DeepSeek, a cost-effective and open-source AI competitor, and its implications for the AI marketU.S. and Chinese competition in technology innovation and the broader economic significance of AI advancementsThe impact of AI cost reductions on accessibility, productivity, and business adoption across sectorsRecent market trends, including the role of technology stocks, mid-cap performances, and financial sector growthThe broader economic outlook, emphasizing the benefits of AI-driven cost efficiencies for the economy and the importance of maintaining diversified investment strategiesAnd more!Resources:Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We’d love to hear from you! [email protected] Connect with Ryan Detrick: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickX: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu Varghese: LinkedIn: Sonu VargheseX: Sonu Varghese
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50:06
Guess Who's Back (Ep. 119)
The investing world is buzzing as markets rally, inflation softens, and a familiar political figure makes headlines.How do these factors shape the current economic picture? What are the implications for portfolios and policies in the months ahead?In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, discuss the surprising strength of markets, the potential impact of tariffs and a stronger dollar, and the outlook for inflation in 2025. They highlight key data and trends that show resilience and opportunities in the economy despite widespread skepticism.Ryan and Sonu discuss: The recent broad market strength, particularly in small and mid-cap stocks, and the implications of improved market breadthWhy inflation metrics, especially core CPI, show improvement and the role of lagging indicators like shelter costs and motor vehicle insuranceThe influence of tariffs and a strengthening dollar on U.S. manufacturers, earnings, and inflation expectationsResilience in the labor market, including trends in part-time workers and construction jobs, suggesting economic stabilizationPolicy uncertainties, including President Trump’s potential tariffs on Canada and Mexico and their possible effects on global trade and marketsAnd more!Resources:Download the full Market Outlook 2025 here.Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We’d love to hear from you! [email protected] ROMA CollectiblesConnect with Ryan Detrick: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickX: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu Varghese: LinkedIn: Sonu VargheseX: Sonu Varghese
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38:21
2025 Outlook (Ep. 118)
How do market strategies evolve amidst economic shifts, policy adjustments, and investor behavior? In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, share their 2025 outlook. They delve into economic growth, earnings, policy impacts, and the potential paths for stocks and bonds.Ryan and Sonu discuss: Predictions for stocks growing 12-15% and bonds by 4-7%, with a focus on equitiesObservations on U.S. economic resilience driven by consumer balance sheets and productivityPotential risks from interest rates, housing market stagnation, and a strong dollar’s effects on exports and earningsAnticipated Fed rate cuts and inflation trends tied to real estate and wage growthStrategies emphasizing diversified investments, including opportunities in underperforming mid-cap and small-cap sectorsAnd more!Download the full Market Outlook 2025 here.Resources:Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We’d love to hear from you! [email protected] Connect with Ryan Detrick: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickX: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu Varghese: LinkedIn: Sonu VargheseX: Sonu Varghese
About Facts vs Feelings with Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese
This podcast takes a deep dive into the market-moving events to cut through the noise and help you identify what really matters. Facts vs Feelings is hosted by Chief Market Strategist, Ryan Detrick and VP, Global Macro Strategist, Sonu Varghese, and is a product of the Carson Investment Research Team.The information included herein is for informational purposes and is intended for use by advisors only, and should not be copied, reproduced, or re-distributed without the consent of CWM, LLC. Carson Partners offers investment advisory services through CWM, LLC, an SEC Registered Investment Advisor. Carson Coaching and CWM, LLC are separate but affiliated companies and wholly-owned subsidiaries of Carson Group Holdings, LLC. Carson Coaching does not provide advisory services.
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