In this episode of the Risk Reversal Podcast, Gu Adami converses with Peter Boockvar, CIO of OnePoint BFG Wealth Partners, about the implications of the upcoming Jackson Hole Fed Gala and the rhetoric surrounding the Fed's policies. They discuss the market-moving potential of Fed commentary and the impact of tariffs on inflation, focusing on the long-term effects on supply chains and prices, particularly in the auto and real estate sectors. Additionally, they delve into the global rise in interest rates, particularly in Japan and Europe, and how it impacts US markets. The conversation also touches on the evolving AI landscape, including the implications for corporate spending on AI-driven productivity tools, and competitive pressures from Chinese tech firms. The discussion wraps up with an analysis of the upcoming earnings reports from major retailers and their ability to manage price elasticity amid tariff pressures.
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29:05
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29:05
Gene Munster: AI CapEx Spending Can't Stop, Won't Stop
In this episode of the RiskReversal Podcast, host Dan Nathan is joined by Gene Munster, managing partner at Deepwater Asset Management. The discussion centers around the dominance of major tech stocks, their rapidly evolving dynamics, and substantial capital expenditures, exemplified by an expected $300 billion increase next year. They delve into the transformative impact of artificial intelligence on markets, with Munster drawing parallels to the tech boom from 1995 to 2000. The conversation also covers geopolitical implications for U.S. tech firms, focusing on Nvidia's crucial role in the U.S.-China tech rivalry. The episode concludes with thoughts on Apple's upcoming launches, the potential for significant IPOs in the AI realm, and the broader economic factors influencing market strategies.
Show Notes
‘Absolutely immense’: the companies on the hook for the $3tn AI building boom (FT)
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37:47
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37:47
Neil Dutta on Housing, The Consumer & AI Fueled Growth
Guy Adami and Dan Nathan host Neil Dutta, partner and Head of Economic Research at Renaissance Macro Research, on the RiskReversal Podcast. Neil shares his career journey, his time at NYU, and his experience working with David Rosenberg and Ethan Harris at Merrill Lynch. The conversation covers current economic issues including the US housing market recession, labor market dynamics, and the impact of restrictive monetary policy. Neil also discusses the significant investment in AI and its potential to boost GDP growth. The discussion touches on the Federal Reserve's focus on inflation over employment, the global interest rate environment, and the potential risks concerning AI investment momentum. Neil offers his market outlook, focusing on defensive strategies and the potential future direction of interest rates.
Show Notes
Neil Dutta's Gut Check: Three Economies (Bloomberg)
New York City Companies All but Stopped Hiring in First Half of the Year (NYT)
Follow RenMac on X: https://x.com/RenMacLLC
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39:24
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39:24
Guy Adami Is A Vibe
Dan Nathan and Guy Adami dive into the recent remarks of Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Federal Reserve policies, analyzing conflicting viewpoints on job data and interest rate cuts. The conversation highlights concerns about politicization of economic data, historical inflation patterns, and the challenges faced by the Federal Reserve. They also touch on fluctuating market indicators like the VIX, crude oil, and Bitcoin prices. The episode concludes with a broader reflection on the impact of political actions on market stability and institutional trust.
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26:27
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26:27
Peter Boockvar: The Fed Can’t Fix Tariffs
Dan welcomes Peter Boockvar, CIO at OnePoint BFG Wealth Partners, to discuss market reactions to recent economic data. The episode covers the market's positive response to the latest CPI reading, speculations about Fed rate cuts, and the impact of tariffs on inflation and economic growth. They delve into the persistent inflation rate of 3% and discuss factors that could re-accelerate economic growth despite ongoing trade wars. They also explore the implications of sustained AI capital spending and the role of central bank policies in juicing the economy amid tariff pressures. The conversation highlights the stock market's insatiable appetite for risk and potential future economic scenarios.
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Welcome to the RiskReversal Pod, where Dan Nathan and Guy Adami are joined by the most brilliant minds in markets and tech.
We break down the most important market moving headlines to help listeners make better informed investing decisions.
Our goal is to deconstruct Wall Street speak and offer contrarian insights and strategies that help investors navigate increasingly volatile markets.
Tune into the RiskReversal Pod Monday through Friday for succinct 30 minute pod drops of market analysis that you won't find anywhere else.
For new episodes of On The Tape with Danny Moses, search "On The Tape" in your favorite podcast platform.
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YouTube: @RiskReversalMedia
Instagram: @riskreversalmedia
Twitter: @RiskReversal
LinkedIn: RiskReversal Media
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