The Wolf Of All Streets

Bitcoin tanked to $64,000 after Kevin Warsh's first FOMC turned full hawkish — the median dot plot now sees a 2026 rate HIKE, October hike odds jumped to 60%, and Bitcoin/Ether ETFs swung back to outflows ($111M combined, with BlackRock's IBIT bleeding $31M). But the on-chain picture is bullish: Bitcoin whales (1,000+ BTC addresses) just reversed months of selling and now control the highest BTC supply since March, absorbing 125,000 BTC in the first half of June. Add Strategy's STRC preferred stock hitting a record low (freezing Saylor's main BTC-buying engine), whale-sized 1,750 BTC put hedges at the $62K strike flashing weekend caution, Bitwise's Matt Hougan still calling for $1 million Bitcoin within 10 years, and the SEC scrapping the trade-through rule (clearing the runway for tokenized stocks) — and today's setup is the most confusing tape of the cycle. We break down whether the whale accumulation signals the bottom is in, what Warsh's hawkish pivot means for 2026, and whether the $62K weekend put hedge is the warning everyone's missing.

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In this episode, the panel dissects Illinois’ sweeping new tax on digital assets—crypto, stablecoins, prediction markets, and tokenized stocks—that could gut CME Bitcoin futures liquidity, hammer market makers, and spark dormant-commerce-clause lawsuits. They analyze Hyperliquid’s surge, the Spacex perp’s unlock volatility, and how perps trading 3-10x spot volume amplify moves; the Spacex IPO’s capital drain (only 4% float, massive August–December unlocks); altcoin pops like Uniswap and Zcash amid rock-bottom Bitcoin volatility and AI-coin bids; privacy coins versus rising wealth taxes; Fed rate-path risks; tokenized-asset disconnects; SBF’s “VC lottery” luck; casino lobbying against sports prediction markets; and why a quiet, hated-rally summer market may reward smart positioning.
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Bitcoin's relief rally faces its first real test today as Warsh's first FOMC meeting lands — markets are pricing 50-65% odds of at least one 2026 rate HIKE after May CPI ripped to 4.2%, and Warsh is expected to scrap Powell's forward guidance entirely. The on-chain backdrop is bullish: Bitcoin's Sharpe ratio just hit -20 (the same signal that marked every cycle low since 2015), holders absorbed 125,000 BTC in the first half of June, and whales pulled 11,000 BTC off exchanges yesterday. We break down whether the bottom signal holds, what Warsh's first dot plot means for Bitcoin, and which catalysts could extend or kill the relief rally.

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Bitcoin just SMASHED past $66,000 — its highest level in over a week — as the Iran peace deal momentum continues and the market braces for Warsh's first FOMC meeting tomorrow. The setup is brutal: May CPI ripped to 4.2% (driven by the Iran/Hormuz energy spike), prediction markets now price 50-65% odds of at least one 2026 rate HIKE, and Warsh is expected to scrap Powell's forward guidance entirely — meaning Wednesday's dot plot could swing risk assets either direction. Add Saylor's most ambitious forecast yet (Bitcoin to $7 MILLION — "It's inevitable"), Chamath calling $1.14M per coin based on halving math, Kraken launching CFTC-regulated Bitcoin perps for US customers, Elon Musk's net worth crossing $1.3 TRILLION (bigger than all but 12 public companies), and Robinhood cutting 10% of its workforce — and today's setup is the cleanest pre-FOMC inflection we've seen all cycle. We break down whether the Iran rally has legs, what Warsh's first dot plot means for Bitcoin, and whether $7 million is actually possible or pure hopium.

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Join Dave and guests for a lively Monday Spaces as crypto markets rebound strongly, with Ethereum outperforming Bitcoin and altcoins surging. The panel explores whether this is a liquidity-driven bear market rally or the start of a real turnaround, diving into Ethereum fundamentals, the escalating AI arms race, decentralized AI narratives, prediction markets, and regulatory updates including the Clarity Act. Packed with insights on macro risks, censorship resistance, and the future of sound money.
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